RoPE Score (PFO in Cryptogenic Stroke)
RoPE score (Kent et al., Neurology 2013)Scores six items — age band, absence of hypertension, diabetes, prior stroke/TIA and smoking, plus a cortical infarct on imaging — to estimate how likely a patent foramen ovale found after cryptogenic stroke is the cause rather than an incidental finding. Total 0–10, with the stratum-specific attributable fraction and 2-year recurrence estimates from the derivation cohort.
Also searched as: patent foramen ovale · paradoxical embolism · cortical infarct · esus · embolic stroke of undetermined source · right-to-left shunt · bubble study · pfo closure · young stroke
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Incomplete input
- Please provide: a plausible age in years, hypertension status, diabetes status, prior stroke/TIA, smoking status, cortical infarct on imaging.
How this tool works
About one adult in four has a patent foramen ovale, so finding one after a cryptogenic stroke does not by itself make it the culprit. RoPE separates the two situations by asking how well the patient fits the profile of paradoxical embolism: young, free of the vascular risk factors that produce small-vessel and atherosclerotic strokes, and with a superficial cortical infarct rather than a deep lacunar one. Each of those raises the score, and a higher score corresponds to a higher estimated PFO-attributable fraction — the share of PFOs at that score judged pathogenic rather than incidental. The counterintuitive half of the result matters as much as the score: patients whose PFO is most likely to be causal have the LOWEST estimated recurrence risk on medical therapy, because a scored-out patient has few competing mechanisms, while a low score signals a vascular-risk-factor burden that keeps generating strokes. The imaging item is the one a radiologist supplies, and it is worth stating plainly in the report — "cortical infarct" or "deep/lacunar infarct" — because the stroke team cannot score it from a list of structures.
References
- Kent DM, Ruthazer R, Weimar C, et al. An index to identify stroke-related vs incidental patent foramen ovale in cryptogenic stroke. Neurology 2013;81(7):619-625
- Thaler DE, Di Angelantonio E, Di Tullio MR, et al. The Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) study: initial description of the completed database. Int J Stroke 2013;8(8):612-619
- Kent DM, Saver JL, Kasner SE, et al. Heterogeneity of treatment effects in an analysis of pooled individual patient data from randomized trials of device closure of PFO after stroke (PASCAL classification). JAMA Neurol 2021
- Kent DM, Saver JL, Ruthazer R, et al. RoPE-estimated attributable fraction correlates with the benefit of PFO closure. Stroke 2021;52(3):907-915
Implemented from the cited published sources. Educational use only; confirm against current guidelines before clinical use.
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