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RoPE Score (PFO in Cryptogenic Stroke)

RoPE score (Kent et al., Neurology 2013)

Scores six items — age band, absence of hypertension, diabetes, prior stroke/TIA and smoking, plus a cortical infarct on imaging — to estimate how likely a patent foramen ovale found after cryptogenic stroke is the cause rather than an incidental finding. Total 0–10, with the stratum-specific attributable fraction and 2-year recurrence estimates from the derivation cohort.

Also searched as: patent foramen ovale · paradoxical embolism · cortical infarct · esus · embolic stroke of undetermined source · right-to-left shunt · bubble study · pfo closure · young stroke

Age at the index stroke

Scored in bands: 18–29 = 5, 30–39 = 4, 40–49 = 3, 50–59 = 2, 60–69 = 1, ≥ 70 = 0.

years
History of hypertension

The point is scored for the ABSENCE of hypertension (No = 1 point). Use the pre-existing diagnosis or antihypertensive treatment, not the blood pressure recorded acutely after the stroke.

History of diabetes mellitus

The point is scored for the ABSENCE of diabetes (No = 1 point). Use the pre-existing diagnosis or treatment, not the admission glucose.

Prior stroke or TIA before this event

The point is scored when there is NO previous stroke or TIA (No = 1 point).

Smoker

The point is scored for a nonsmoker (No = 1 point). The component databases recorded smoking status inconsistently for ex-smokers — apply your unit’s convention and record it.

Cortical infarct on imaging

Yes = 1 point. An infarct involving the cerebral cortex on CT or MRI (typically DWI), as opposed to a purely deep, lacunar or subcortical pattern. This is the only imaging item in the score. Answering No when no infarct was visible — a CT-only study, or an imaging-negative event — scores the same 0 as a demonstrated deep infarct, which is not the same statement.

Information
Incomplete input
  • Please provide: a plausible age in years, hypertension status, diabetes status, prior stroke/TIA, smoking status, cortical infarct on imaging.

How this tool works

About one adult in four has a patent foramen ovale, so finding one after a cryptogenic stroke does not by itself make it the culprit. RoPE separates the two situations by asking how well the patient fits the profile of paradoxical embolism: young, free of the vascular risk factors that produce small-vessel and atherosclerotic strokes, and with a superficial cortical infarct rather than a deep lacunar one. Each of those raises the score, and a higher score corresponds to a higher estimated PFO-attributable fraction — the share of PFOs at that score judged pathogenic rather than incidental. The counterintuitive half of the result matters as much as the score: patients whose PFO is most likely to be causal have the LOWEST estimated recurrence risk on medical therapy, because a scored-out patient has few competing mechanisms, while a low score signals a vascular-risk-factor burden that keeps generating strokes. The imaging item is the one a radiologist supplies, and it is worth stating plainly in the report — "cortical infarct" or "deep/lacunar infarct" — because the stroke team cannot score it from a list of structures.

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